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Bridging Prediction and Intervention Problems in Social Systems
Location
Calvin Lab auditorium
Date
Monday, Jan. 12
–
Friday, Jan. 16, 2026
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Workshop & Symposia
Schedule | Bridging Prediction and Intervention Problems In Social Systems
Secondary tabs
The Workshop
Schedule
Videos
Monday, Jan. 12, 2026
8:30
–
9 a.m.
Coffee and Check-In
9
–
9:30 a.m.
Opening Remarks
9:30
–
10:10 a.m.
Triage Score: A Counterfactual Risk Assessment Instrument
Kosuke Imai (Harvard University)
Video
10:10
–
10:40 a.m.
Operational Dosage: The Impact of Capacity Constraints on RCT Evaluation
Hannah Li (Columbia University)
Video
10:40
–
11 a.m.
Break
11
–
11:30 a.m.
LLM-Guided Reinforcement Learning for Mastery Learning: Large-Scale Field Evidence
Hamsa Bastani (Upenn)
Video
11:30 a.m.
–
12 p.m.
Estimating the Value of Personalization
Emma Brunskill (Stanford University)
Video
12
–
2 p.m.
Lunch (catered)
2
–
2:30 p.m.
Non-parametric Causal Inference in Dynamic Thresholding Designs
Stefan Wager (Stanford University)
Video
2:30
–
2:45 p.m.
Provocations- "Evaluation in the Wild: The Need for Engagement"
Daniel Ho (Stanford University)
2:45
–
3 p.m.
Provocations
Deirdre Mulligan (UC Berkeley)
3
–
4 p.m.
Panel (In-person only)
4
–
5 p.m.
Reception
Tuesday, Jan. 13, 2026
8:30
–
9 a.m.
Coffee and Check-In
9
–
9:40 a.m.
What Birth Circumstances Cannot Predict: Toward a General Framework for Prediction Ceilings (In-person only)
Matthew Salganik (Princeton University)
9:40
–
10:20 a.m.
Agreement and Alignment for Human-AI Collaborative Decision Making
Aaron Roth (University of Pennsylvania)
Video
10:20
–
11 a.m.
Break
11
–
11:30 a.m.
The Role of Standardized Tests in Admissions: Predictions vs. Decisions
Sharad Goel (Harvard University)
Video
11:30 a.m.
–
12 p.m.
Individual Gaps in Prediction Generalization
Marzyeh Ghassemi (MIT)
Video
12
–
2 p.m.
Lunch (catered)
2
–
2:30 p.m.
Human Values in Clinical Algorithms, Old and New
Arjun Kumar Manrai ()
Video
2:30
–
2:45 p.m.
Provocations
Mark Sendak
Video
2:45
–
3 p.m.
Provocations
Jean Feng (UCSF)
Video
3
–
3:15 p.m.
Provocations
Ziad Obermeyer (UC Berkeley)
Video
3:15
–
3:30 p.m.
Provocations- "A Roadmap for Removing Race from Clinical Algorithms"
Emma Pierson (UC Berkeley)
Video
3:30
–
3:45 p.m.
Provocations
Benjamin Recht (UC Berkeley)
Video
3:45
–
4:30 p.m.
Panel (In-person only)
4:30
–
5 p.m.
Discussions (In-person only)
Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026
8:30
–
9 a.m.
Coffee and Check-In
9
–
9:30 a.m.
Beyond Prediction Performance: How Modeling Decisions Shape Fairness Outcomes in Statistical Profiling
Frauke Kreuter (LMU Munich and University of Maryland)
Video
9:30
–
10 a.m.
The Feedback Loop of Statistical Discrimination
Jackie Baek (NYU Stern)
Video
10
–
10:30 a.m.
Decision theoretic foundations for human-AI collaboration
Jessica Hullman (Northwestern University)
Video
10:30
–
11 a.m.
Break
11
–
11:30 a.m.
When Prediction Becomes Policy: What Do Risk Models Actually Learn?
Shion Guha (University of Toronto)
Video
11:30 a.m.
–
12 p.m.
Evaluation Design
Ashia Wilson (MIT)
Video
12
–
2 p.m.
Lunch (on your own)
2
–
3:30 p.m.
Poster Session (In-person only)
3:30
–
5 p.m.
Free Afternoon
Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026
8:30
–
9 a.m.
Coffee and Check-In
9
–
9:30 a.m.
Recommendation in equilibrium for the NYC High School Match
Nikhil Garg (Cornell University)
Video
9:30
–
10 a.m.
Automating the US Welfare State: Historical Experiments in Technological Federalism
Marc Aidinoff (Harvard University)
Video
10
–
10:30 a.m.
Evaluating probabilistic decision making by LLMs: a decision-theoretic framework and application to clinical diagnosis
Bryan Wilder (Carnegie Mellon University)
Video
10:30
–
11 a.m.
Break
11
–
11:30 a.m.
On Machine Learning for Prediction and Prioritization in the Allocation of Scarce Societal Resources
Sanmay Das (Virginia Tech)
Video
11:30 a.m.
–
12 p.m.
Algorithmic UDAP
Talia Gillis (Columbia University)
Video
12
–
2 p.m.
Lunch (catered)
2
–
2:30 p.m.
Machine Learning Who to Nudge: Causal vs Predictive Targeting in a Field Experiment on Student Financial Aid Renewal
Jann Spiess (Stanford University)
Video
2:30
–
3 p.m.
The Challenge of Valid Evaluations
Amanda Coston (UC Berkeley)
Video
3
–
3:30 p.m.
The Inadequacy of Offline LLM Evaluations: A Need to Account for Personalization in Model Behavior
Angelina Wang (Cornell Tech)
Video
3:30
–
5 p.m.
Informal Discussions (In-person only)
Friday, Jan. 16, 2026
9
–
9:30 a.m.
Coffee and Check-In
9:30
–
9:45 a.m.
Closing Remarks
9:45
–
10:30 a.m.
Scheduling with Time-Evolving Uncertainty for Content Review Prioritization in Social Media
Thodoris Lykouris (MIT)
Video
10:30
–
11 a.m.
Break
11
–
11:15 a.m.
Provocations
Ashesh Rambachan (MIT)
11:15
–
11:30 a.m.
Provocations
Eli Ben Michael (Carnegie Mellon University)
11:30
–
11:45 a.m.
Provocations
Tijana Zrnic (Stanford University)
11:45 a.m.
–
12:30 p.m.
Limits of Decisions and Inference under Uncertainty Panel
12:30
–
2 p.m.
Lunch (on your own)
2
–
2:30 p.m.
Informal Discussions (In-person only)
2:30
–
3 p.m.
Break
3
–
4 p.m.
Informal Discussions (In-person only)
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